Strategic path dependency


Nature

Economic systems, even if inefficient, and social systems are hard to change despite changing circumstances because they follow paths determined by earlier institutional choices. The initial choice of a particular technology, for example, "locks" an economy into a sequence of adaptive investments that block the later adoption of more efficient technologies.

Claim

  1. As a result of path dependency, anyone who imagines that the global capitalist market system is somehow going to follow, through its own initiative, a qualitatively different path than that already traced, is seriously deluded and misguided.

Counter claim

  1. The effects of a path continue to undermine its supportive base (both within society and the environment). They will as a result catastrophically self-correct unless a deliberate choice is made to modify the nature of economic growth towards sustainable development.


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